Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 9.660468 11.037708 12.491600 14.135807 15.938519 17.849898 20.024651
2025-08-10 7.303197 9.143414 11.215983 13.703121 16.586030 19.802089 23.639859
2025-08-17 5.682401 7.761262 10.248067 13.395310 17.223327 21.679582 27.207742
2025-08-24 4.553966 6.758772 9.548988 13.253818 17.953909 23.627420 30.896369
2025-08-31 3.697993 5.949665 8.956000 13.128293 18.625078 25.474237 34.495549
2025-09-07 3.236473 5.589634 8.879864 13.618403 20.056810 28.285766 39.363129
2025-09-14 2.729021 5.076067 8.517012 13.659584 20.861175 30.293237 43.254886
2025-09-21 2.185404 4.412889 7.850902 13.194015 20.913494 31.277657 45.817254
2025-09-28 1.744531 3.834199 7.231392 12.717664 20.884885 32.109671 48.161918
2025-10-05 1.612352 3.761010 7.381359 13.381042 22.491072 35.203929 53.610625
2025-10-12 1.545362 3.793267 7.696982 14.306391 24.506127 38.916517 59.989658
2025-10-19 1.451217 3.757597 7.889831 15.040274 26.255982 42.297785 65.988511
2025-10-26 1.262172 3.510520 7.707897 15.178649 27.142548 44.522162 70.506748
2025-11-02 1.034008 3.137289 7.260815 14.844673 27.281517 45.667806 73.539235
2025-11-09 0.851269 2.822380 6.879812 14.583596 27.506780 46.930540 76.756274
2025-11-16 0.713247 2.578644 6.601116 14.468418 27.942810 48.500392 80.434002
2025-11-23 0.596236 2.357468 6.337713 14.353606 28.362232 50.044375 84.097755
2025-11-30 0.549670 2.313937 6.431399 14.888557 29.867729 53.272539 90.297178
2025-12-07 0.471195 2.159533 6.271881 14.938505 30.556356 55.256430 94.689654
2025-12-14 0.368696 1.898774 5.844457 14.443348 30.287013 55.732846 96.828746
2025-12-21 0.284071 1.660921 5.431148 13.934796 29.957163 56.087135 98.771850
2025-12-28 0.272416 1.678812 5.624571 14.646241 31.794239 59.926940 106.086193
2026-01-04 0.274022 1.747904 5.948446 15.636955 34.155620 64.652135 114.829769